tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35403587.post9060013195867585872..comments2023-07-25T08:22:35.176-06:00Comments on Kennedy's Corridor: Weekend Picks and AnalysisKennedyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14149130617213590448noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35403587.post-24633755797709763502007-07-21T09:52:00.000-06:002007-07-21T09:52:00.000-06:00regarding racing at Arlington Park, i think this i...regarding racing at Arlington Park, i think this is going to be a good card today (07/21/07 // i have noticed the past few Saturdays that victories have been spread evenly among jockeys and trainers // i have tried to pick out some contenders who will be a price but i think, as in my case recently, when a person does this over and over one starts to see things that it not really there and it is incumbent upon that person to get back to the basics of handicapping // that being said i am going to continue to try to get a price because we can all figure out who the logical favorite is or who the probable contenders are // that being said, i do think that the DRF consensus has probably got it right this Saturday in terms of probable contenders and possibly the winner on top for almost every race on the card / my favorite selection this week is Systematic Saint in the 5th // one might get somewhat of a price ranging from 9/5 to 3-1 depending because of so many class droppers and last out claimed horses in this race // i like this horse because he is dropping in class and unlike most other horses he seems to thrive from the outside where ie starting from today // we will see// one might get a good price price and a good effort from Macho Camacho in the 2nd race // Macho Camacho gets Albardo and has speed and the rail // Cornbred in the 3rd flashed early speed in his last and could surprise at a price // My late pick four beginning with the 7th race is as follows: Clerpak, Camptown King/ with/ Pleasant Strike, Perfect Casting /with/ Cosmonaut /with/ Almonsoon, Sohgol // good luck to all and thanks /chicago gerryAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35403587.post-81386268608800529572007-07-21T09:14:00.000-06:002007-07-21T09:14:00.000-06:00well "The Sun Also Rises" // what I like about han...well "The Sun Also Rises" // what I like about handicapping is that there is always another day; after you have been knocked down and you get back up and dust yourself off, there is always another race to make sense of it all // in many respects handicapping has a redemptive quality when you can prove to yourself yet again, and to your satisfaction, that you can be right on occasion and you are not a total failure // it is for this reason, I suppose, that, despite the torture one puts themselves through in this game, there is very little looking back and there is always a bright spot of optimism ahead // In some ways I think most handicappers are somewhat attention seekers and possess a puffy ego // this is not meant to be a disparaging remark toward handicappers because it is all part of the fun // handicappers want others to enjoy their successes and think highly of them much as a person who would make a 30 foot jump shot in their driveway // you might have fun making that 30 foot jump shot while being alone(in my case an underhanded set shot)// on the other hand, for some people, if you are alone, did you really make that shot ? // in my opinion, it is much better to share that triumph with other both for the fun of it and for the affirmation coming from others // in the end you want to be right at least some of the time, else like a meteorologist being wrong all the time, others will not provide the attention you seek // and so unabashedly, as a handicapper who has had a short run of being miserably wrong, I saunter forth and continue my quest to have fun and be right some of the time // thanks/ chicago gerryAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35403587.post-48764337602506384562007-07-21T08:30:00.000-06:002007-07-21T08:30:00.000-06:00the race i will be looking at in terms of KC's pos...the race i will be looking at in terms of KC's post is the Virginia Derby // i like KC's top choice< Strike a deal for the reasons stated and also the reverse finish (Eddie Murphy) aspect in regards to Summer Doldrums which a handicapper encounters more times than not when the same horses faces each other for the second time // i have seen this angle reach down to even the 4th place finisher on many occasions after a decent effort by that finisher // CQ is still one of my favorites despite all his failings, but i really do believe, based on my experience that a front runner has a better chance on the switch from dirt to grass than a closer like CQ // for example Sunriver // i don't recall right not if Panty Raid was a front runner or closer when she won off the switch form dirt to grass recently, but my guess is she won from either a front running or stalking position // in the end it would not surprise me though to see CQ finish in the money based on his pedigree and connections // thanks/ chicago gerryAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35403587.post-91989772057859251792007-07-20T12:23:00.000-06:002007-07-20T12:23:00.000-06:00Re: Del Mar race 4 tomorrow. This is a tough one. ...Re: Del Mar race 4 tomorrow. This is a tough one. 2yo races can be tough anyway, but the new surface this early in the meet is a tough read. BR's Girl does look good , especially in light of that nice effort on the Cushion, but who knows how that'll translate onto the Poly. She is one of only 2 in here with a prior start(s), and that should give her a definite edge. If she can stalk the pace, then I'd give her a very good shot. And Nak is already riding at 43% after only a couple of days. Downside is her odds will likely be rock bottom but, as you say, it's a good practice race. I think the O'Neill horse is worth watching if for no other reason than the sire-angle, and I'm interested to see how the 1 performs since that one appears to have a pedigree that could go either way in terms of the surface...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com