Sunshine Millions Dash
All eyes will be on Texas Voyager as he makes his stakes debut. His maiden victory was spectacular and it hinted that this horse might be a serious one but he is faced with certain disadvantages. The outside post virtually assures that he is not going to get the lead early on and that he is going to lose ground on the turn. There are a lot of fast horses in here and Texas Voyager is going to get a real test. Idiot Proof was basically just as impressive as Texas Voyager in his first start. The only problem is that it was last june and he hasn't been working particularily fast since then. As it turns out most of the horses I like in this race are breaking from the outside. Lets hope that part of the track is good. Leonardo has proven himself to be a very quick and consistent horse, I think we see more of the same. Perhaps he isn't as brilliant as Bafferts star to be but I think he'll be around at the finish. In his limited career he has already run at three different tracks, on with three different track conditions and he has done well in all of them. Depending on the price you get he may be worth a tilt. In sprints I generally prefer to have a closer on my ticket as well and in this case I'm using Storm In May. His PP lines dont suggest that he is a stone cold closer, he has flashed speed in his last few, but those were routes and backing him up in distance here will see him further off the pace. He is a solid horse on the grass and could spring the surprise coming back to the main track.
1)Texas Voyager
2)Leonardo
3)Storm In May
Sunshine Millions Filly and Mare Sprint
I'm excited about this race because I think I've got a good looking longshot in here. Call me crazy but I think Secret Scheme is a standout and at 15/1 its all the better. She is 6 for 10 lifetime but I love breaking down the records of sprinters and looking at them based purely on the specific conditions they'll be facing. Secret Scheme may be 6 for 10 lifetime but she is 3 for 3 sprinting on dirt and in fact she has only ever lost once on dirt. Granted she has never faced a good horse sprinting but she has also never been challenged. Her turf form has been decidedly inferior and yet she did manage to get witn 1.5 lengths of multiple stakes winner Attima. I'm hoping that class tranfers to this race. She can rate off the pace and she has a very inpressive way of going, of course it helps when the competition is well behind. If she goes bust though I like Coli Bear as a backup. You know what you're going to get with this filly and I think the draw suits her. I'm not really sold on anyone else in here. I think Swap Fliparoo is a bit of a fraud and Hot Storm has always tormented me. I've never found a race where I liked her but the defending champ I'll give her a mild shot.
1)Secret Scheme
2)Coli Bear
3)Hot Storm
Sunshine Millions Filly and Mare Turf
I think this race amy be over within seconds of the gates opening. If Bayou's Lassie breaks clean no one is getting to her. I know Howaboutrightnow has speed and will likely be up on the pace but she is cheap and Bayou's Lassie will be able to handle that pressure. Rich In Spirit will bew coming late but she isn't much of a winner. Her runs frequently fall short and I'm expecting the same here. Charmsil is also eligable to run a good one. She likes tyhe course and can stalk the pace. I dont think she can beat Bayou's Lassie but you never know, this IS racing after all.
1)Bayou's Lassie
2)Rich In Spirit
3)Charmsil
Sunshine Millions Classic
Sweetnorthernsaint is the best horse in the race but he's worth opposing. Not heavily mind you but that outside post is a killer is he didnt look all that great in his last. I find myself intrigued by a horse from the inside, Dry Martini. This horse actually has the Beyers to compete with SNS and what I like the most is that his two turn form has been excellent. His trainer does excel with horses going a route and this one is no different. His career is certianly on the rise. He doesnt seem to be too quick in terms of acceleration but I'm hoping the positive jockey switch has the desired effect. He did finish behind Rehoboth two races back but I think he's the stronger of the pair coming in here. I suspect that Rehoboth isnt as effective at Gulfstream as he is at Calder. Papi Chullo is also interesting to me. His career has been especially odd in that he showed a lot of promise early then sort of lost his way while changing barns 3 times. He's been working well and his last two races indicate that his career is back on track. I think he's live.
1)Dry Martini
2)Papi Chullo
3)Sweetnorthernsaint
Friday, January 26, 2007
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3 comments:
KC's last two posts have been outstanding /thanks for all that is done// my understanding is the average winning mutual for the sunshine millions was $25.28 for 24 races beginning in 2004// i don't have much of stategy, however, i plan to play the top jockeys this time around many of whom are riding Kc's picks// for gulfstream i will use gomez, jr., c. valasquez, jj castellano, and e. prado// i like both of r.baze's horses one of which is the longshot pick by KC (secret scheme)// i also like both guidry horses (chicago bias) // for santa anita i will use espinoza, solis, and nakatani// i do like swap fliparoo alot/ i am giving cosideration to yellow sheets, formal miss, and joint effort// also,i think mott's horse in the the 5th at santa anita is worth a hard look // i think take d' tour is going to be hard to deny at a short price// lastly, i like KC's picks // the insights and rationale you can't get in too mny places // it should all be fun on saturday //chicago gerry
Well thanks gerry but we'll have to wait until the races are run to see how good these posts really are. They might just be a waste of bandwidth.
Best of luck to you and everyone esle this weekend.
Just discovered your blog, Kennedy, and will be reading from now on. Thanks for the info and insight! Chris
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