Friday, September 25, 2009

Weekend Picks And Analysis

Kentucky Cup Classic
This is the only stakes race of note that caught my eye this weekend. It's being billed as the perfect prep to get Hold Me Back to the Classic. I think it is a pretty decent spot for him and he's also the best horse in the race. But I do think it might be worth opposing him because it's his first try against older horses and he seems to need a bit of pace to run at. There are a few horses in this race that could set the pace but none of them are real speed balls and this could be a more tactical affair. I'm going to lean towards Dubious Miss because I think he is the best of the early pace/stalkers. Dubious Miss, like Hold Me Back, has a decent record on synthetics but has spent most of his career running on different surfaces. He gets Borel back in the saddle and interestingly enough he's 5 for 5 with Borel and 1 for 8 with everyone else. Whatever Calvin says to him in the warm up it seems to do the trick. Last time out he sat behind a ridiculously slow pace and could not get to the winner but he did run a very good race. I hope he improves with a slightly better pace scenario and hopefully he has enough to hold off Hold Me Back in the final furlong.

Dubious Miss

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