Derby Top 10 (Apr 2nd)
1. Any Given Saturday (1)
2. Great Hunter (2)
3. Street Sense (3)
4. Hard Spun (4)
5. Circular Quay (5)
6. Ketchikan (6)
7. Nobiz Like Showbiz (8)
8. Notional (7)
9. Scat Daddy (9)
10. Officer Rocket (new)
The only race of any impact to be run this week was the Florida Derby and I think this race was more the kind that eliminated contenders rather than adding any. Nice to see that I wasnt dreaming when I observed that Scat Daddy is much better when racing outside. Pletcher himself noted the same. I wonrder if they'll choose an outside berth for him in the Derby? Scat Daddy may have won the race but he doesnt really move up in the rankings because of it. I thought his race proved very little and in terms of his Derby chances I think Scat Daddy is no more eligable to run a good race than Notional, but the lack of speed shown by these two entrants means that Nobiz Like Showbiz gets put above them for now. At least Nobiz has the chance to improve in his final prep. Notional and Scat Daddy have already shown us what they've got. The only way I can see these two challenging for a top spot is if all the other major preps come in ridiculously slow. Adore the Gold gets dropped and doesnt even get included on the radar. He spent 6 weeks in the top 10 but was never ranked higher than 10th. There was nothing to like about his race and I dont think he will go for the Derby. Stormello gets dropped off the radar. He had never featured in the top 10. Officer Rocket moves into the top 10 for the first time. I see him as this year's Giacomo. He should be running at the end but he could only win races that fall apart. Still he has every chance to boost an exotic payment on the big day. Chelokee has no chance in the Derby in my opinion and I hope he does not enter. Next week we will see another elimination round but we also might see some stars emerge. No horse that is slated to run in the Santa Anita Derby is featured in the top 10. Sam P and Liquidity look like the best candidates to boost their reputations but we'll have to see how it all shakes down. Nobiz Like Showbiz is also gunning for a chance at redemption when he makes his debut in blinkers against Circular Quay and Summer Doldrums in the Wood Memorial.
On the radar: Curlin, Sam P, Liquidity, Zanjero, Summer Doldrums, Teuflesberg, Cobalt Blue
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1 comment:
the 1st six positions on the 'derby top 10', were unchanged, and while i only saw the fla derby, i saw nothing that i would change on the list// good call on notional by KC going into the fla derby/ not too many selectors were keen on him doing well including me// the public liked him a bit (i think he went off as second choice)/ from what i saw, chelokee was cut off again and made a determined effort/ i believe he could be a viable derby horse but probably won't make cut $ wise// and matz has indicated he won't run again so it may be academic// it is difficult to say if stormello will make an impact in the derby but given his running style, top beyers, and the derby distance //at this point, unless there would be some maturation, it is doubtful// i thought stomello or adore the gold stood a chance to run big but failed/ so that leaves curlin and nobiz off my original list/ looking at positions 6-10 on the 'derby top 10' and on the radar list, i could see a few others now that are getting good coverage including ketchikan, summer doldrums and liquidity// it's getting interesting/ a lot of smoke will be cleared after the april 7th races/ chicago gerry
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